Donald Trump’s pollster predicts win in 2024, so do others, but most Americans indifferent

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Donald Trump's pollster predicts win in 2024, so do others, but most Americans indifferent
Donald Trump's pollster predicts win in 2024, so do others, but most Americans indifferent

By Nikhila Natarajan
New York, Nov 24 |
Former US President Donald Trump has betrayed fresh evidence of a presidential campaign in waiting.

As per a media leak, Trump minders have tested the mood in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – five states that delivered a total of 73 electoral votes in 2020, and a decisive Electoral College victory for Joe Biden to become president.

In a Trump-Biden matchup in all five – decided in 2020 by fewer than 3 percentage points – the former president is shown whipping Biden in Arizona by 8 percentage points, Georgia by 3 points, Michigan by 12 points, Pennsylvania by 6 points and Wisconsin by 10 points.

Tony Fabrizio, a top GOP pollster, conducted the surveys.

The poll numbers aimed at baiters within the Republican Party who murmur about Trump losing his grip.

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Biden has publicly said he plans to run for reelection. He too seems gearing up in the five states the Trump campaign has focused on, first with an eye on the midterms and then the big one in 2024.

Steve Schale, CEO for Unite The Country, said he had no reason to doubt Fabrizio’s polling as Biden’s approval numbers have dropped for months. That said, Schale noted that midterm polling is hardly predictive of what might happen in a presidential election in three years.

Unrelated, an Economist/YouGov poll conducted between November 14 and November 16, asked respondents whether Biden “legitimately won the election, or not?”

Of the 1,500 Americans surveyed there, 51 per cent of white women who don’t have college degrees said that Biden didn’t legitimately defeat Trump in 2020, while 29 per cent of white women with college degrees shared the same response.

Numbers released Thursday by Redfield & Wilton Strategies showed 44 percent of Americans voting for Trump and just 39 percent with Biden.

USA Today and Suffolk University showed that more Americans oppose Biden seeking another White House term than are against Trump running again in 2024. Nearly two-thirds (64 percent) said they opposed Biden seeking another term. Fifty-eight percent said they were against Trump doing so.

Emerson College too showed Donald Trump narrowly ahead of Biden. Donald Trump was supported by 45 percent of registered voters, Biden by 43 percent.

In a culture of multiple surveys this time of the year, including what time they would want to sit down for dinner, nearly two-thirds of Americans said they have no appetite to talk turkey about politics this Thanksgiving.

A Quinnipiac survey claimed that 66 percent of adults are “hoping to avoid” conversations about politics at the dinner table this year, a sentiment that includes most Democrats, Republicans and independents.

Twenty-one percent said they are “looking forward” to hashing out their political views while feasting on fixings, 68 percent of Republicans, 66 percent of Democrats and 69 percent of independents say they want to leave politics at the dining-room door, the survey said Monday.

(Nikhila Natarajan tweets @byniknat)

Source: IANS

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Weekly Technical Share Market Outlook

Weekly Technical Share Market Outlook

The Indian market recovered sharply on the last trading day amid the weekend after a continuous fall. Market has managed to halt above 16000 Nifty levels after continuous losing streak. Index reacted violently, grasping Indian as well as global factors throughout the week. Simultaneously, Inflation is catching up and profit margins are taking a hit.

 

Sensex advanced 1532 points or 2.90 percent while Nifty gained 484 points or 3.07 percent in a week. Simultaneously, Bank nifty has overcome bear’s dominance ending the session with 3.49 percent gain. Sectorally,Nifty Metal saw the highest gains of 7.40 percent followed by the Realty and Auto added over 4% gain. On the flip side Nifty IT tumbled 2.82 percent on weekly basis. Midcap and Small Cap measures rising nearly 2 percent as well.

In Nifty stock, EICHERMOT gained 11.31% while TECHM lost 5.98% on a weekly basis. INDIA VIX closes at 23.10 suggests volatility driven market is going to remain intact. Coming to the OI Data, on the call side highest OI witnessed at 17000 Nifty followed by 16800 Nifty strike price while on the put side, the highest OI was at 16000 Nifty followed by 15800 Nifty strike price. Technically, Nifty has formed a Tweezer Bottom type pattern in the weekly chart suggesting a short term buying rally may drive the market until monthly expiry. On the daily chart, price has rebounded from the lower Bollinger band as well.

Momentum indicators MACD & Stochastic were trading with a positive crossover & reversed from oversold zone. However, Index is still struggling to get the support of 50 Simple Moving Average in daily chart. Short term investors and traders are advised to work with option strategies to neutralize the volatility. Overall, Nifty is having support at 15700 mark while on the upside 16700 followed by 16500 may act as an immediate resistance. While Bank nifty has support around 32500 while resistance is placed at 36000 on weekly chart.

Sumeet Bagadia
Executive Director
Choice Broking

Source: Choice India

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