Tax benefits to increase disposable income likely in Union Budget

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By Sanjeev Sharma
New Delhi, Jan 21 |
The government may consider incremental tax benefits to increase net disposable income of the citizens in order to boost demand when it tables the Union Budget FY23 in the Parliament on February 1.

Brokerage firm KR Choksey said in a report that the government is expected to further target infrastructure spending to create a multiplier effect and increase job opportunities.

Moreover, it may continue to introduce structural reforms and boost privatisation to attract long-term capital from foreign institutional investors (FIIs). The government may also consider incremental tax benefits to increase net disposable income of the citizens to boost demand.

As per the report, the government will put more focus on tax compliance by being more vigilant. Also, there might be some hike in GST rates of some selected products and services by the GST Council to boost GST revenue further.

There might be some changes in InvIT and REIT tax structures with the objective of bringing long-term capital gains treatment at par with other asset classes.

“With robust direct tax collection, we do not envisage any tinkering with the existing income tax slabs, though some incremental tax benefits by the government cannot be ruled out,” the report said.

“Given the limited headroom for monetary policy action, fiscal measures have become imperative, and we expect the government to address ‘demand’ side factors in the upcoming Budget,” it added.

This Budget is widely expected to continue with the measures announced in the previous budgets like Aatmanirbhar Bharat, Make in India and PLI schemes etc. One can expect more measures with focus on boosting consumption and helping to revive private sector investments, it said.

The brokerage expects aggressive asset divestures for FY23E with a disinvestment target of Rs 2-2.1 trillion, public sector reforms in the form of privatisation, recapitalisation and improving corporate governance, reduction in the burden on tax compliance requirements for startups and stress asset funds to address banking sector asset quality aspects.

Among the sector specific expectations, for auto — Reduction of GST rate on two-wheelers; re-introduction of the depreciation scheme, financials, setting up of refinance window for NBFCs; focus on digital initiatives.

For pharma — Reinstatement of weighted tax deduction at 200 per cent of inhouse R&D spending

For consumers — GST/import duty relief to curb high inflation; implementation of National Retail Policy

For insurance — Increase in deduction limit under 80C & 80D; GST rate reduction

For IT/technology — Digital initiatives; incentives for 5G rollout

For agriculture/chemicals — Introduction of PLI scheme; levy of import/anti-dumping duty

For infra/capital goods/cement — Higher allocation to PMAY; boost infrastructure financing avenues

The government’s focus will be to support the agri economy to improve farmers’ income. Credit is a critical input in achieving higher farm output. Institutional credit will also help delink farmers from non-institutional sources where they are compelled to borrow at usurious rates of interest, the report said.

Normally, farm loans attract an interest rate of 9 per cent. However, the government has been providing interest subvention to make short-term crop loan available at an affordable rate, thereby helping to boost farm output.

The government fixes annual agriculture credit, including crop loan targets for the banking sector. The agricultural credit flow has increased consistently over the years, exceeding the target set for each fiscal. Therefore, the brokerage expects similar trend to continue going ahead in the upcoming Budget too, the report said.

In the Budget, the government is expected to announce more steps to achieve its infrastructure investment target of Rs 111 trillion as per the NIP (National Infrastructure Pipeline).

More clarity is awaited on the current status of the NIP, its financing avenues and its capex phasing over the next few years. The government is likely to increase its gross budgetary support towards the infrastructure sector with focus on roads, railways and urban infrastructure segments.

To expedite projects like high-speed rail (including Bullet trains), Sagar Mala, smart cities, inland waterways developments etc., the government should provide some dedicated allocations towards these projects in the Budget. Increased allocation for NHAI will help achieve Bharat Mala project targets, the report said.

(Sanjeev Sharma can be reached at Sanjeev.s@ians.in)

Source: IANS

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Share Market Closing Bell: Nifty ends above 15,800, Sensex gains 180 pts

Share Market Closing Bell: Nifty ends above 15,800, Sensex gains 180 pts

The benchmark Indices Nifty started on the positive side after continuous sell off in last week and has managed to settle at 15842.30 with 60 point gain or 0.38 percent. However Nifty has failed to regain 16000 levels prior to LIC listing.

While Bank nifty has managed to settle at 33597.60 levels after gaining 1.44 percent. On the sectoral front, Nifty PSU Bank, Nifty Realty and Auto have contributed 2-3 percent gain on closing basis. On the flip side Nifty IT and FMCG ended with losses of 0.75 percent and 0.35 respectively. In Nifty, EICHERMOT, APOLLOHOSP and UPL were the top gainers while ULTRACEMCO, SHREECEM and ASIANPAINT were the prime laggards.

Technically, after forming the bearish candle on the weekly chart, the index has formed a Doji candlestick on the daily chart which shows indecisiveness among the trades. Moreover, the index has also faced a resistance from falling trend lines and showed profit booking from higher levels. However, Fibonacci retrenchment also has support around 15650 levels.

Traders may find buying opportunities for short term as if 15650 levels is protected. In the hourly chart, with support of the middle Bollinger band short term upside movement is expected. Stock specific action would drive the market in coming days too.

On the derivatives front, the highest call OI is at 16000 strike price followed by 16200 strike prices while on the put side, highest OI is at 15500 strike price. INDIA VIX closed at 24.53 with gain of 4.43 percent intraday indicating volatility is going to remain till weekly expiry . On the other hand, Bank nifty has support at 32600 levels while resistance is placed at 34500 levels.

Sumeet Bagadia
Executive Director
Choice Broking

Source: Choice India

 

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